Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Peyton Stearns		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.96	1.85	Watch
	2.04	1.86
	2	1.79	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.01	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.3)	1.81 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peyton Stearns
47.4%

Naomi Osaka
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peyton Stearns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peyton Stearns's performance.

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naomi Osaka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peyton Stearns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naomi Osaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	0%	21.7%

Peyton Stearns - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Stearns will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stearns: 61.5% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Peyton Stearns will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stearns is ranked WTA: 42. Osaka is ranked WTA: 48.

Stearns is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Osaka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peyton Stearns
WTA Roma
10.05.25	Madison Keys - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
29.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Rebeka Masarova - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Roma
10.05.25	Marie Bouzkova - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
07.05.25	Sara Errani - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Kaja Juvan - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W?WWW

Peyton Stearns - Naomi Osaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide