Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Naomi Osaka		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	1.73	2.1
	1.75	2.05
	1.76	2.08
	1.78	2.13
	1.78	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.76	2.06	Watch
	1.69	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.62)	2.08 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
54.3%

Paula Badosa
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	0%	61.9%

Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Badosa will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Osaka (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paula Badosa will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Badosa (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 49. Badosa is ranked WTA: 10.

Osaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Roma
12.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Marie Bouzkova - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
07.05.25	Sara Errani - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Kaja Juvan - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LW?WW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Strasbourg
22.05.25	Paula Badosa - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Paula Badosa - Marie Bouzkova	Bouzkova M. retired ✺
WTA Roma
08.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	Canceled ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.25	Paula Badosa - Veronika Kudermetova	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
24.03.25	Alexandra Eala - Paula Badosa	Eala A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 L????

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
08.05.25	Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa	Canceled

Naomi Osaka - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide