Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Philip Henning		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.64	2.17	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)	2.25 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philip Henning
58.5%

Rei Sakamoto
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philip Henning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philip Henning's performance.

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rei Sakamoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Henning than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Philip Henning - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Henning is ranked ATP: 392. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 682.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Henning could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Henning will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philip Henning
ATP Challenger
24.11.24	Philip Henning - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Philip Henning - Seiya Mizuno	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Philip Henning - Ji Sung Nam	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.11.24	Philip Henning - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
25.11.24	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
24.11.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
22.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
21.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 ??LWW

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