Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama (Japan), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday


	Rei Sakamoto		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.24	1.37
	3.03	1.39	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.65)	1.35 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
30.3%

Yuta Shimizu
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rei Sakamoto - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 769. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 217.

Sakamoto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shimizu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
21.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
18.11.24	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
12.11.24	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Yan Bai - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
09.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
21.11.24	Masamichi Imamura - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
18.11.24	Yuta Shimizu - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Mattia Bellucci - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Rinky Hijikata - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Ajeet Rai - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

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