Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Santa Tecla, hard - Final

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Tecla 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Pietro Orlando Fellin		Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

	1	2
	1.58	2.33
	1.55	2.23	Watch
	1.56	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.44)	2.29 ↓ (2.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietro Orlando Fellin
59.4%

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietro Orlando Fellin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pietro Orlando Fellin's form might have worsened.

Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pietro Orlando Fellin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Fellin is ranked ATP: 741. Rubio Fierros is ranked ATP: 842.

In recent matches, Fellin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rubio Fierros is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fellin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fellin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ITF Tournaments
19.07.25	Daniel Milavsky - Pietro Orlando Fellin	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Ricardo Rodriguez Pace - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Guillaume Dalmasso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLW
- Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
ITF Tournaments
19.07.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Jose Pereira	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Victor Lilov	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Lucca Pinto	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Roberto Cid Subervi	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Ronald Hohmann - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW

Pietro Orlando Fellin - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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