Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Las Vegas, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Pietro Orlando Fellin		Federico Bondioli

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.85	1.98
	2.51	1.49	Watch
			Watch
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	2.66	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.56)	1.79 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pietro Orlando Fellin
46.7%

Federico Bondioli
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pietro Orlando Fellin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pietro Orlando Fellin's performance.

Federico Bondioli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Bondioli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pietro Orlando Fellin than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pietro Orlando Fellin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Bondioli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Pietro Orlando Fellin - Federico Bondioli Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fellin will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Bondioli will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fellin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fellin is ranked ATP: 517. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 389.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Fellin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bondioli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Pietro Orlando Fellin - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pietro Orlando Fellin
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Andre Alcantara - Pietro Orlando Fellin	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Justin Boulais - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Attila Boros	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Kristjan Tamm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLW
- Federico Bondioli
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Federico Bondioli - Andres Martin	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Federico Bondioli - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Federico Bondioli	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Federico Bondioli - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Tom Gentzsch - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWL

Pietro Orlando Fellin - Federico Bondioli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide