Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Polina Iatcenko		Claire Liu

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.48
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	2.63	1.53
	2.54	1.49
	2.6	1.5
	2.68	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.66)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
36.5%

Claire Liu
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Claire Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Polina Iatcenko - Claire Liu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 154. Liu is ranked WTA: 116.

Iatcenko has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Liu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Liu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liu might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Polina Iatcenko - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
ITF Tournaments
07.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Caroline Dolehide	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Iryna Shymanovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Washington
25.07.26	Julieta Pareja - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Polina Iatcenko - Vera Zvonareva	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Claire Liu
WTA Iasi
14.07.26	Yulia Putintseva - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Claire Liu - Ipek Oz	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Claire Liu - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Sinja Kraus - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.26	Claire Liu - Cori Gauff	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL

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