Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London) 🌤️ ... 🟢 Grass


	Polina Iatcenko		Zhuoxuan Bai

	1	2
	1.91	1.80
	1.90	1.85
	1.91	1.85
	2.02	1.88
	1.93	1.84	Watch
	1.91	1.80
	1.96	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polina Iatcenko
48.7%

Zhuoxuan Bai
51.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polina Iatcenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Zhuoxuan Bai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhuoxuan Bai than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Polina Iatcenko - Zhuoxuan Bai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iatcenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Polina Iatcenko will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 155. Bai is ranked WTA: 263.

Iatcenko has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bai is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iatcenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Polina Iatcenko - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polina Iatcenko
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Polina Iatcenko - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.06.26	Polina Iatcenko - Martyna Kubka	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Polina Iatcenko - Anastasia Tikhonova	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Polina Iatcenko - Sara Milanese	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Polina Iatcenko - Aliesia Reva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Zhuoxuan Bai
WTA Wimbledon
23.06.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Tamara Zidansek	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.06.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Patcharin Cheapchandej	Canceled ✺
29.05.26	Jiaqi Wang - Zhuoxuan Bai	Bai Z. Retired ✺
27.05.26	Michika Ozeki - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Qiu Yu Ye - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W??WW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.05.23	Polina Iatcenko - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2

Polina Iatcenko - Zhuoxuan Bai