Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Platja D'Aro, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Polona Hercog		Ane Mintegi Del Olmo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.87	1.95
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.57)	1.87 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polona Hercog
50.5%

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polona Hercog's form might have worsened.

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ane Mintegi Del Olmo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ane Mintegi Del Olmo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Polona Hercog - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hercog is ranked WTA: 227. Mintegi Del Olmo is ranked WTA: 251.

Hercog is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mintegi Del Olmo has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mintegi Del Olmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hercog is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polona Hercog
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Polona Hercog - Miriana Tona	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Polona Hercog - Lucia Natal	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Xiyu Wang - Polona Hercog	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Yufei Ren - Polona Hercog	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Polona Hercog - Xinyu Gao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Georgina Garcia Perez - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	Garcia-Perez G. Retired ✺
06.05.26	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	Diaz Adrover C. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Rebeka Masarova	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Mia Ristic - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Leyre Romero Gormaz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ??LLL

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