Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Huzhou, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Xiyu Wang		Polona Hercog

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.98
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.4	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)	2.77 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiyu Wang
66.1%

Polona Hercog
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiyu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xiyu Wang's performance.

Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polona Hercog might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiyu Wang than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xiyu Wang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polona Hercog could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Xiyu Wang - Polona Hercog Predictions

Users Predictions: Xiyu Wang will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Xiyu Wang will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wang is ranked WTA: 170. Hercog is ranked WTA: 249.

Wang is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hercog's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hercog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wang might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Wang will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiyu Wang
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Xiyu Wang - Chengyiyi Yuan	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Xiyu Wang - Zhibek Kulambayeva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Xiyu Wang - Anastasia Zolotareva	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Xiyu Wang - Yufei Ren	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Xiyu Wang - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Yufei Ren - Polona Hercog	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Polona Hercog - Xinyu Gao	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Polona Hercog - Lisa Pigato	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Polona Hercog - Arina Bulatova	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog	Hercog P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
19.03.18	Polona Hercog - Xiyu Wang	2:0

Xiyu Wang - Polona Hercog: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide