Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Portoroz, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Polona Hercog		Sofia Costoulas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	2.24 (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polona Hercog
58.4%

Sofia Costoulas
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sofia Costoulas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Costoulas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Polona Hercog - Sofia Costoulas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hercog is ranked WTA: 269. Costoulas is ranked WTA: 134.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Hercog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hercog might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sofia Costoulas - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.21%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polona Hercog
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Polona Hercog - Antonia Stoyanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog	Hercog P. Retired ✺
06.04.26	Polona Hercog - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Polona Hercog - Yvonne Cavalle-Reimers	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Polona Hercog - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 W?WWW
- Sofia Costoulas
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
31.03.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Sofia Costoulas	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.03.26	Sofia Costoulas - Yexin Ma	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Haruka Kaji - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Sofia Costoulas - Hayu Kinoshita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW

Polona Hercog - Sofia Costoulas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide