Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Quentin Halys		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.8
	1.22	3.85	Watch
	1.27	4.01
	1.26	3.9	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.23	3.9	Watch
	1.22	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.35)	3.88 ↑ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quentin Halys
75.8%

Jelle Sels
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quentin Halys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quentin Halys's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quentin Halys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Quentin Halys - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: Quentin Halys will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Halys is ranked ATP: 100. Sels is ranked ATP: 323.

Recent matches Halys is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sels is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Halys is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Halys won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quentin Halys
ATP Challenger
02.10.24	Quentin Halys - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Quentin Halys - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Quentin Halys - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Jacob Fearnley - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Quentin Halys - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
03.10.24	Jelle Sels - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Mathias Bourgue - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Jelle Sels - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Jelle Sels - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Jelle Sels - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.03.22	Quentin Halys - Jelle Sels	2:1

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