Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif (France), hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Quentin Halys		Lucas Pouille

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	2	1.87
	1.92	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.65)	1.88 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quentin Halys
50.3%

Lucas Pouille
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quentin Halys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quentin Halys's form might have worsened.

Lucas Pouille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Pouille's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quentin Halys than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quentin Halys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Pouille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Quentin Halys - Lucas Pouille Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Halys will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Pouille will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Halys is ranked ATP: 100. Pouille is ranked ATP: 125.

Halys is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pouille in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pouille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Halys won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quentin Halys
ATP Challenger
05.10.24	Quentin Halys - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Quentin Halys - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Quentin Halys - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Quentin Halys - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Quentin Halys - Eliakim Coulibaly	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL
- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
05.10.24	Lucas Pouille - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Manuel Guinard - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
03.10.24	Calvin Hemery - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Gabriel Debru - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Lucas Pouille - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.03.21	Lucas Pouille - Quentin Halys	2:0
03.05.19	Lucas Pouille - Quentin Halys	2:1
05.05.15	Lucas Pouille - Quentin Halys	Canceled
06.04.15	Lucas Pouille - Quentin Halys	2:1

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