Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nottingham, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Quinn Vandecasteele		Amit Vales

	1	2
	1.28	3.2
	1.32	3.19
	1.32	3.19	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.36	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.59)	3.2 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quinn Vandecasteele
70.9%

Amit Vales
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quinn Vandecasteele has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quinn Vandecasteele's performance.

Amit Vales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amit Vales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quinn Vandecasteele that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amit Vales could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Quinn Vandecasteele - Amit Vales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 718. Vales is ranked ATP: 845.

Vandecasteele is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vales is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vandecasteele could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vandecasteele will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quinn Vandecasteele
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Noah Schachter - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Quinn Vandecasteele - Justin Boulais	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Amit Vales
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Amit Vales - Matt Kuhar	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Amit Vales - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Amit Vales - Christos Antonopoulos	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Amit Vales - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL

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