Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cleveland 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Quinn Vandecasteele		Murphy Cassone

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Quinn Vandecasteele
33.4%

Murphy Cassone
66.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quinn Vandecasteele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinn Vandecasteele than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Vandecasteele is ranked ATP: 581. Cassone is ranked ATP: 244.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Vandecasteele may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cassone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quinn Vandecasteele
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Micah Braswell	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Quinn Vandecasteele - Franco Ribero	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Karl Poling - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Pranav Kumar - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.01.26	Braden Shick - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

Quinn Vandecasteele - Murphy Cassone