Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Canberra 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mitchell Krueger		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.88	Watch
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.78	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
50%

Murphy Cassone
50%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cassone (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krueger is ranked ATP: 206. Cassone is ranked ATP: 216.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Krueger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Murphy Cassone - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.71%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
03.01.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mitchell Krueger - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
03.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Stefan Kozlov - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Kenta Miyoshi	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Aidan McHugh - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone	1:2
02.10.25	Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone	2:1
ATP Delray Beach
08.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Mitchell Krueger	2:1
ITF Tournaments
19.06.24	Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	✺

Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone