Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Diego, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: San Diego 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Murphy Cassone		Liam Draxl

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	1.97	1.76	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.16)	1.74 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
46.8%

Liam Draxl
53.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Murphy Cassone - Liam Draxl Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Draxl will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liam Draxl will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 224. Draxl is ranked ATP: 145.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Murphy Cassone - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWW
- Liam Draxl
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Liam Draxl - Damir Dzumhur	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Moerani Bouzige - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Arthur Gea - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Liam Draxl - Daniil Ostapenkov	✺

Murphy Cassone - Liam Draxl