Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Radu Albot		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.6
	1.52	2.45
	1.52	2.5
	1.55	2.51
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.49	2.49	Watch
	1.51	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)	2.48 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radu Albot
62.2%

Mattia Bellucci
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radu Albot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radu Albot's performance.

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mattia Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radu Albot than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radu Albot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattia Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Radu Albot - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Albot will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Bellucci will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albot: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Bellucci could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Albot will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radu Albot
ATP Marseille
22.02.23	Mikael Ymer - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.23	Miomir Kecmanovic - Radu Albot	2:1 ✺
17.02.23	Radu Albot - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Radu Albot	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Radu Albot - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LLWWW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Mattia Bellucci - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Denis Kudla - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.23	Tennys Sandgren - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.23	Mattia Bellucci - Benjamin Bonzi	1:3 ✺
11.01.23	Mattia Bellucci - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

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