Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.10	1.73	Watch
	2.00	1.78
	2.02	1.79	Watch
	2.03	1.89
	2.01	1.76	Watch
	1.96	1.88
	2.00	1.80	Watch
	2.05	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.2)	1.79 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
47%

Luciano Darderi
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mattia Bellucci - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 81. Darderi is ranked ATP: 20.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bellucci won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.56%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Mattia Bellucci - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Zachary Svajda - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Mattia Bellucci - Zachary Svajda	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWL?
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
11.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Nuno Borges - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Luciano Darderi - Gabriel Diallo	Diallo G. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
01.04.26	Luciano Darderi - Mattia Bellucci	2:0
ATP Australian Open
11.01.23	Mattia Bellucci - Luciano Darderi	2:0

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