Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Antalya 14, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Radu Mihai Papoe		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)	2.07 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radu Mihai Papoe
55%

Andrey Chepelev
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radu Mihai Papoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radu Mihai Papoe than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Radu Mihai Papoe - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Papoe is ranked ATP: 604. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 484.

Papoe is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chepelev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chepelev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrey Chepelev - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radu Mihai Papoe
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Radu Mihai Papoe - Dusan Obradovic	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Stefan Adrian Andreescu - Radu Mihai Papoe	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Bekkhan Atlangeriev - Radu Mihai Papoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Radu Mihai Papoe - Thomas Faurel	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Dan Martin - Radu Mihai Papoe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Andrey Chepelev - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
13.11.25	Andrey Chepelev - Luis Garcia Paez	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Andrey Chepelev - Denis Klok	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Andrey Chepelev - Nick Hardt	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Andrey Chepelev - Dominik Recek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL

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