Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Rafael Jodar		Alex Rybakov

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.25	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.66
	1.30	3.24	Watch
			Watch
	1.31	3.27	Watch
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)	3.33 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
71.9%

Alex Rybakov
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rafael Jodar's performance.

Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Rybakov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rafael Jodar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Rybakov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Rafael Jodar - Alex Rybakov Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Rybakov will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 325. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 315.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rybakov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Nicolas Mejia - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Luca Pow - Rafael Jodar	Pow L. retired ✺
09.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Gavin Goode	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLW?W
- Alex Rybakov
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Moerani Bouzige	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Alex Rybakov - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
16.08.25	Alex Rybakov - Nishesh Basavareddy	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

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