Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Rafael Jodar		Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.31	1.59	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.81)	1.66 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
43.6%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rafael Jodar's form might have worsened.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Rafael Jodar - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jodar will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 911. Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 224.

Recent matches Pacheco Mendez is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jodar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Stefan Kozlov - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Roberto Cid Subervi - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Rafael Jodar - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.07.24	Pol Martin Tiffon - Rafael Jodar	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLW
- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
01.04.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Mark Lajal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLLW

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