Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Juan Alejandro Hernandez

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.58	2.24
	1.36	3.07
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.36	2.99	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.64)	2.93 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
67.7%

Juan Alejandro Hernandez
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's performance.

Juan Alejandro Hernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Alejandro Hernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Alejandro Hernandez than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Alejandro Hernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	0%	5.6%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 229. Hernandez is ranked ATP: 595.

Recent matches Pacheco Mendez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hernandez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hernandez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pacheco Mendez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Casper Ruud	Pacheco Mendez R. walkover ✺
25.02.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLL?W
- Juan Alejandro Hernandez
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Trey Hilderbrand - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.03.25	Garrett Johns - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Gage Brymer - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.02.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Alejandro Hernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide