Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday


	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez		Mateus Alves

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.64	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.83)	2.47 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
62.2%

Mateus Alves
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's performance.

Mateus Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mateus Alves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mateus Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mateus Alves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 229. Alves is ranked ATP: 292.

Recent matches Pacheco Mendez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alves is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pacheco Mendez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Mark Lajal - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL
- Mateus Alves
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Thiago Monteiro - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Mateus Alves	Canceled ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Jaime Faria - Mateus Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Mateus Alves	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Mateus Alves - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?LLW

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mateus Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide