Match Info

Date: 17 March 2022, Thursday


	Rafael Nadal		Nick Kyrgios

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.43	2.9	Watch
	1.37	2.95
	1.41	3.14
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.45	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)	3.01 ↓ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Nadal
68.1%

Nick Kyrgios
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Nick Kyrgios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Kyrgios than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.7%	0%	68.3%

Rafael Nadal - Nick Kyrgios Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. Nadal will win (votes: 32 - 31.7%). Kyrgios will win (votes: 69 - 68.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyrgios: 59.2% – 77.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nadal won 3.

Nadal in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kyrgios is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nadal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nadal is a favorite.

Kyrgios is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Last 9 head-to-head matches Nadal won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Nadal
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.22	Rafael Nadal - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
14.03.22	Rafael Nadal - Daniel Evans	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Rafael Nadal - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.22	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
25.02.22	Daniil Medvedev - Rafael Nadal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Nick Kyrgios
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.22	Jannik Sinner - Nick Kyrgios	Kyrgios N. walkover ✺
14.03.22	Nick Kyrgios - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Federico Delbonis - Nick Kyrgios	0:2 ✺
10.03.22	Nick Kyrgios - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.22	Nick Kyrgios - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
27.01.20	Rafael Nadal - Nick Kyrgios	3:1
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.19	Rafael Nadal - Nick Kyrgios	Canceled
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.19	Nick Kyrgios - Rafael Nadal	1:3
ATP Acapulco
27.02.19	Rafael Nadal - Nick Kyrgios	1:2
ATP Beijing
08.10.17	Rafael Nadal - Nick Kyrgios	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.17	Rafael Nadal - Nick Kyrgios	0:2
ATP Madrid
11.05.17	Nick Kyrgios - Rafael Nadal	0:2

Rafael Nadal - Nick Kyrgios: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide