Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Rafael Nadal		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	1.57	2.37	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.36
	1.61	2.48
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 (1.56)	2.44 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Nadal
61%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Nadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Nadal than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.2%	0%	57.8%

Rafael Nadal - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 102 users predict this event. Nadal will win (votes: 43 - 42.2%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 59 - 57.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 48.2% – 67.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Nadal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tsitsipas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tsitsipas won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Nadal
ATP Barcelona
24.04.21	Rafael Nadal - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
23.04.21	Rafael Nadal - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
22.04.21	Rafael Nadal - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
21.04.21	Rafael Nadal - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
16.04.21	Andrey Rublev - Rafael Nadal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWWL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Barcelona
24.04.21	Jannik Sinner - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
23.04.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
22.04.21	Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
21.04.21	Jaume Munar - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
18.04.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
17.02.21	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal	3:2
ATP Cup
04.02.21	Rafael Nadal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled
ATP World Tour Finals
19.11.20	Rafael Nadal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
Abu Dhabi Exhibition
21.12.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal	1:2
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.19	Rafael Nadal - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Roma
18.05.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal	0:2
ATP Madrid
11.05.19	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rafael Nadal	2:1

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