The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alex De Minaur 55.5%
Stefanos Tsitsipas 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.7%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.4%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex De Minaur's form might have worsened.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefanos Tsitsipas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex De Minaur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefanos Tsitsipas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24.3%
2.7%
73%
Alex De Minaur - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 59.8% – 88.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
De Minaur is ranked ATP: 5.Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 51.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 1.
De Minaur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tsitsipas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
De Minaur might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 5:28. (average 0.3:1.9).
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