Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Raphael Collignon		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.47
	2.94	1.47
	2.62	1.49	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.92	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.42)	1.46 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
34.4%

Ben Shelton
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raphael Collignon's form might have worsened.

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ben Shelton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Raphael Collignon - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Shelton will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 62. Shelton is ranked ATP: 5.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Collignon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shelton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Raphael Collignon - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
20.05.26	Raphael Collignon - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Adrian Mannarino - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Raphael Collignon - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ben Shelton	0:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Daniel Altmaier - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Marcos Giron - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Ben Shelton - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

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