Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANDRIA (ITALY) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 21 November 2022, Monday


	Raphael Collignon		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.2	1.6
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.26	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.98)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
42.3%

Illya Marchenko
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	0%	79.2%

Raphael Collignon - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Illya Marchenko will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Collignon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marchenko is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marchenko will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Marchenko to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
20.11.22	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
14.11.22	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Otso Martikainen - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Raphael Collignon - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
19.10.22	Gregoire Barrere - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWLL
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
20.11.22	Giuseppe Tresca - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
10.11.22	Illya Marchenko - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
08.11.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Karl Friberg - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Illya Marchenko - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW

Raphael Collignon - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide