Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Umag 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:40	beIN Sports 1
Finland	18:40	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	17:40	Ziggo Sport 4
Romania	18:40	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Sweden	17:40	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Raphael Collignon		Vit Kopriva

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.86
	2.10	1.70	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.02	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
47.1%

Vit Kopriva
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Vit Kopriva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vit Kopriva than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Raphael Collignon - Vit Kopriva Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Kopriva will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kopriva: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vit Kopriva will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 84. Kopriva is ranked ATP: 83.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Collignon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Collignon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Vit Kopriva - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Bastad
14.07.25	Raphael Collignon - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Max Houkes - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Norbert Gombos - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Raphael Collignon - Marin Cilic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWWL
- Vit Kopriva
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Vit Kopriva - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Vit Kopriva - Hugo Dellien	Dellien H. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Vit Kopriva - Jordan Thompson	2:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
22.06.25	Vit Kopriva - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Vit Kopriva - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.03.25	Vit Kopriva - Raphael Collignon	2:0

Raphael Collignon - Vit Kopriva