Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Winston-Salem, NC, hard - Final

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Winston-Salem 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Shunsuke Mitsui		Keegan Smith

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Shunsuke Mitsui
50.2%

Keegan Smith
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shunsuke Mitsui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shunsuke Mitsui than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mitsui (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Mitsui is ranked ATP: 605. Smith is ranked ATP: 426.

Mitsui is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Smith is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mitsui won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shunsuke Mitsui
ITF Tournaments
10.01.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Jack Kennedy	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Braden Shick - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Ryan Colby - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Shunsuke Mitsui - Noa Vukadin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
10.01.26	Keegan Smith - Luca Pow	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Keegan Smith - Daniel Milavsky	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Keegan Smith - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Keegan Smith - Jules Leroux	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Christian Langmo - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Keegan Smith - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2

Shunsuke Mitsui - Keegan Smith