Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Raul Brancaccio		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.13
	1.38	2.77	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.61	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)	2.24 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raul Brancaccio
58.3%

Kaichi Uchida
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raul Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raul Brancaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaichi Uchida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Raul Brancaccio - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 340. Uchida is ranked ATP: 242.

Brancaccio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uchida is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uchida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Kaichi Uchida - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.47%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raul Brancaccio
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Tomas Luis	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Massimo Giunta	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Oleg Prihodko - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WW?LL
- Kaichi Uchida
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Kaichi Uchida	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Vladislav Melnic - Kaichi Uchida	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Maxwell McKennon	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Kaichi Uchida - Joao Dinis Silva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Raul Brancaccio - Kaichi Uchida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide