Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday


	Elias Ymer		Raul Brancaccio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.95
			Watch
	1.75	2.04
			Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
54.2%

Raul Brancaccio
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Raul Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Elias Ymer - Raul Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Brancaccio will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Brancaccio (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 260. Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 379.

Ymer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brancaccio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brancaccio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Raul Brancaccio - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.42%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Elias Ymer - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Luca Nardi - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Elias Ymer - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Elias Ymer - Tim Handel	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.25	Elias Ymer - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Alex Molcan - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.06.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Raul Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Lucca Helguera Casado - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW

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