Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Raul Brancaccio		Elias Ymer

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.04	1.8
			Watch
			Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.2)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raul Brancaccio
46.7%

Elias Ymer
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raul Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raul Brancaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Raul Brancaccio - Elias Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brancaccio will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ymer will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 355. Ymer is ranked ATP: 255.

Recent performances by Brancaccio have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ymer is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brancaccio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ymer might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Ymer will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brancaccio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Elias Ymer - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Alex Molcan - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.06.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW
- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Elias Ymer - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Elias Ymer - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Elias Ymer - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Luca Nardi - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Elias Ymer - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Elias Ymer - Raul Brancaccio	2:1

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