Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday


	Rebecca Sramkova		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.8	2.04
	1.8	2.05
	1.73	2
	1.76	1.99	Watch
	1.77	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)	2.01 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebecca Sramkova
53.2%

Jessika Ponchet
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Rebecca Sramkova - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sramkova will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Ponchet will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ponchet: 32.6% – 78.6%.

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Preview

Sramkova is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ponchet is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sramkova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Indian Wells
03.03.24	Yanina Wickmayer - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
WTA San Diego
25.02.24	Marina Melnikova - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Ekaterina Makarova - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.02.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Aliona Falei	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW
- Jessika Ponchet
WTA Indian Wells
03.03.24	Jessika Ponchet - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
WTA Austin
26.02.24	Jessika Ponchet - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Jessika Ponchet - Liv Hovde	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Jessika Ponchet - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.02.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Jessika Ponchet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWL

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