Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi (Thailand), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 January 2025, Thursday


	Rei Sakamoto		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.93)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
41.6%

Gregoire Barrere
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rei Sakamoto's form might have worsened.

Gregoire Barrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gregoire Barrere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gregoire Barrere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Rei Sakamoto - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Barrere will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 413. Barrere is ranked ATP: 162.

Sakamoto in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Barrere is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sakamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Barrere to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
01.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
31.12.24	Clement Chidekh - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Marat Sharipov - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Daniel Cukierman - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 ?WWWW
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Challenger
02.01.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
01.01.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
30.12.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
15.11.24	Raphael Collignon - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Valentin Royer - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

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