Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi (Thailand), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 December 2024, Tuesday


	Marat Sharipov		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.95	1.77	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	1.95	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.95)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marat Sharipov
47.5%

Rei Sakamoto
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Marat Sharipov - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sharipov is ranked ATP: 342. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 413.

Recent matches Sharipov is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sakamoto is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sakamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sakamoto to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
29.12.24	Marat Sharipov - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Marat Sharipov - Courtney John Lock	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.12.24	Marat Sharipov - Savriyan Danilov	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Ryan Peniston - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Marat Sharipov - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
29.12.24	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
28.12.24	Daniel Cukierman - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
29.11.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
28.11.24	Rei Sakamoto - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW

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