Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quebec City, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday


	Rei Sakamoto		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.41	1.62
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.40	1.59
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.32	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.1)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
39.6%

Luca Van Assche
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 165. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 54.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Assche will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sakamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.85%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Jurij Rodionov - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Daniel Milavsky - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Dhakshineswar Suresh - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Ugo Blanchet - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Rei Sakamoto - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
11.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Luca Van Assche - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
26.07.26	Luca Van Assche - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	0:2
10.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto	2:0
18.06.25	Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto	2:0

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