Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 January 2025, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Rei Sakamoto		Tristan Boyer

	1	2
	2.38	1.53
	2.4	1.53
	2.38	1.51	Watch
	2.54	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.44	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.67)	1.53 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rei Sakamoto
38.7%

Tristan Boyer
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Tristan Boyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rei Sakamoto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Boyer than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan Boyer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Boyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Boyer will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 413. Boyer is ranked ATP: 133.

Sakamoto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Boyer in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sakamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Boyer will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Boyer to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
02.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
31.12.24	Clement Chidekh - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Marat Sharipov - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 L?WWW
- Tristan Boyer
ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Hugo Dellien - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
15.11.24	Tristan Boyer - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Tristan Boyer - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWWW

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