Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Reilly Opelka		Botic Van De Zandschulp

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.79	Watch
	2.08	1.84
	2.02	1.76	Watch
	2.04	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.89)	1.8 ↓ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilly Opelka
47%

Botic Van De Zandschulp
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botic Van De Zandschulp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Opelka will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van De Zandschulp: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botic Van De Zandschulp will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Opelka is ranked ATP: 62. Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 82.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Van De Zandschulp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Opelka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilly Opelka
ATP Basel
21.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Mika Brunold	2:1 ✺
ATP Brussels
13.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL
- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Basel
22.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
16.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Joao Fonseca - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
19.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
04.02.21	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2

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