Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 21 October 2025, Tuesday
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Sebastian Baez |
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Reilly Opelka |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sebastian Baez
29.6% | Reilly Opelka
70.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Sebastian Baez - Reilly Opelka Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 Sets - Opelka (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 22 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Reilly Opelka will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Opelka (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Baez is ranked ATP: 43. Opelka is ranked ATP: 62.Baez is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Opelka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Opelka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Opelka is seen as the favorite. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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