Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Renata Zarazua		Diane Parry

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.8
	1.97	1.8	Watch
	1.97	1.9
	1.93	1.87	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.02	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.26)	1.84 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renata Zarazua
48.1%

Diane Parry
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Renata Zarazua's performance.

Diane Parry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diane Parry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Renata Zarazua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diane Parry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Renata Zarazua - Diane Parry Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Zarazua will win (votes: 15 - 41.7%). Parry will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parry: 42.2% – 74.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Zarazua (votes: 7 - 50%). Parry (votes: 7 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Zarazua (2.58) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Zarazua (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Parry (votes: 7 - 41.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zarazua is ranked WTA: 82. Parry is ranked WTA: 107.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Parry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zarazua won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Zarazua
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Madison Keys - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
19.08.25	Renata Zarazua - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Renata Zarazua - Yulia Putintseva	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Renata Zarazua - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLLWL
- Diane Parry
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Petra Kvitova - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
17.08.25	Lulu Sun - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Amandine Hesse - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Diane Parry - Daria Snigur	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Diane Parry - Monika Stankiewicz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.12.23	Diane Parry - Renata Zarazua	1:2
WTA Strasbourg
19.05.19	Diane Parry - Renata Zarazua	1:2

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