Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Edmond, OK, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Renata Zarazua		Kayla Day

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.04
	2.97	1.33	Watch
	1.69	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.59)	1.8 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renata Zarazua
45.9%

Kayla Day
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renata Zarazua's form might have worsened.

Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kayla Day's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renata Zarazua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kayla Day, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Renata Zarazua - Kayla Day Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zarazua is ranked WTA: 81. Day is ranked WTA: 292.

Zarazua is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Day has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zarazua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zarazua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renata Zarazua
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Renata Zarazua - Dalayna Hewitt	2:0 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
13.09.25	Renata Zarazua - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Berfu Cengiz - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Luiza Fullana - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW
- Kayla Day
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Ava Markham - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
02.10.25	Kayla Day - Madison Brengle	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Kayla Day - Ekaterina Khayrutdinova	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Kayla Cross - Kayla Day	Cross K. retired ✺
27.09.25	Olivia Gadecki - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.08.24	Kayla Day - Renata Zarazua	0:2
17.07.23	Renata Zarazua - Kayla Day	0:2

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