Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Sao Paulo, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports 5


	Beatriz Haddad Maia		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.42	3.06
	1.35	3.03	Watch
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.9)	2.73 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beatriz Haddad Maia
64.6%

Renata Zarazua
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beatriz Haddad Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beatriz Haddad Maia's performance.

Renata Zarazua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Renata Zarazua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beatriz Haddad Maia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Renata Zarazua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Haddad Maia (votes: 2 - 40%). Zarazua (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Haddad Maia (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Haddad Maia (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beatriz Haddad Maia will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Haddad Maia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Zarazua (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Haddad Maia is ranked WTA: 27. Zarazua is ranked WTA: 84.

Haddad Maia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Zarazua has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Haddad Maia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Haddad Maia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Beatriz Haddad Maia - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Renata Zarazua - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA Sao Paulo
11.09.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Miriana Tona	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.25	Amanda Anisimova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Viktorija Golubic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWW
- Renata Zarazua
WTA Sao Paulo
11.09.25	Berfu Cengiz - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Luiza Fullana - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Renata Zarazua - Diane Parry	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Madison Keys - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
19.08.25	Renata Zarazua - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.10.21	Renata Zarazua - Beatriz Haddad Maia	Zarazua R. retired
WTA Bogota
06.04.19	Renata Zarazua - Beatriz Haddad Maia	1:2

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