The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Riccardo Bonadio 58%
Jurij Rodionov 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.9%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riccardo Bonadio's form might have worsened.
Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jurij Rodionov's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riccardo Bonadio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jurij Rodionov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17%
0%
83%
Riccardo Bonadio - Jurij Rodionov Predictions
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Bonadio will win (votes: 8 - 17%). Rodionov will win (votes: 39 - 83%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionov: 72.3% – 93.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Bonadio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Rodionov has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Bonadio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Bonadio will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Bonadio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.