Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRATISLAVA (SLOVAKIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 June 2023, Tuesday


	Riccardo Bonadio		Tomas Machac

	1	2
			Watch
	3.6	1.25
	3.7	1.26
	3.91	1.27
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.58	1.26	Watch
	3.6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.64)	1.27 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riccardo Bonadio
25.9%

Tomas Machac
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riccardo Bonadio's form might have worsened.

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Machac's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riccardo Bonadio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Machac, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Riccardo Bonadio - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bonadio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Machac is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Machac could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machac is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
30.05.23	Nino Serdarusic - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
23.05.23	James Duckworth - Riccardo Bonadio	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
10.06.23	Dalibor Svrcina - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
09.06.23	Francisco Comesana - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Tomas Machac - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Tomas Machac - Mate Valkusz	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Tomas Machac - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

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