Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Richard Berankis		Luca Castelnuovo

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.35	3.25
	1.37	2.96	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.25	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.25)	3.27 ↓ (3.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Berankis
71.3%

Luca Castelnuovo
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Berankis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Richard Berankis - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Berankis will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Castelnuovo will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castelnuovo: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Castelnuovo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Castelnuovo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Castelnuovo (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Berankis is ranked ATP: 387. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 499.

Recent performances by Berankis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Castelnuovo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Berankis is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Berankis
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Richard Berankis - Zangar Nurlanuly	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Richard Berankis - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Franco Agamenone - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
07.07.25	Mika Petkovic - Richard Berankis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL
- Luca Castelnuovo
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Uisung Park	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.07.25	Daisuke Sumizawa - Luca Castelnuovo	Canceled ✺
28.06.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Pawit Sornlaksup	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Xiaofei Wang - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 W?WWW

Richard Berankis - Luca Castelnuovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide