Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana (Dominican Republic), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Alexandre Muller		Aleksandar Kovacevic

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.77	2.03	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.75	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	1.98 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
53.1%

Aleksandar Kovacevic
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Aleksandar Kovacevic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alexandre Muller - Aleksandar Kovacevic Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Kovacevic will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 44. Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 94.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Muller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Muller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Aleksandar Kovacevic - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.79%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Alexandre Muller - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.25	Alexandre Muller - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL
- Aleksandar Kovacevic
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Daniel Altmaier - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:1 ✺
ATP Acapulco
23.02.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Alexandre Muller - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2

Alexandre Muller - Aleksandar Kovacevic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide