Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Bernardes C. (Bra)


	Richard Gasquet		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.35	1.58	Watch
	2.46	1.62
	2.46	1.62
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.37)	1.63 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
41.1%

Dominic Thiem
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Gasquet will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Thiem will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thiem: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gasquet won 2.

Two players are playing changeable.

Thiem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Thiem will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gasquet won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Estoril
31.03.24	Richard Gasquet - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Richard Gasquet - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.24	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Richard Gasquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Estoril
01.04.24	Maximilian Marterer - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.03.24	Dominic Thiem - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Dominic Thiem - Filip Krajinovic	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Dominic Thiem - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
04.02.24	Osgar OHoisin - Dominic Thiem	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.23	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	0:2
ATP Metz
21.09.22	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	0:2
ATP Kitzbuhel
25.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	Canceled
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
20.06.20	Dominic Thiem - Richard Gasquet	1:3
ATP Beijing
01.10.19	Dominic Thiem - Richard Gasquet	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.19	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	Canceled
ATP Vienna
24.10.18	Dominic Thiem - Richard Gasquet	Canceled

Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide