Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril (Portugal), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estoril (Portugal) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Bernardes C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	SportKlub
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	18:00	Premier Sport 3
Finland	19:00	MTV Urheilu
Germany	18:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Romania	19:00	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	18:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	18:00	SportKlub


	Richard Gasquet		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	3	1.38	Watch
	3.13	1.41
	3.14	1.42
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.62	1.5	Watch
	2.8	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.23)	1.43 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Gasquet
33.2%

Pedro Martinez Portero
66.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Gasquet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richard Gasquet's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Gasquet than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.9%	0%	62.1%

Richard Gasquet - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Gasquet will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Gasquet is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martinez Portero is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gasquet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Martinez Portero will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Martinez Portero to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gasquet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Gasquet
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Richard Gasquet - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Richard Gasquet - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.03.24	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Richard Gasquet	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.03.24	Radu Albot - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Benjamin Hassan - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Parma
26.05.21	Richard Gasquet - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1

Richard Gasquet - Pedro Martinez Portero